Sport Picks

Armenia

First League 2025/2026

Lernayin Artsakh

1 - 3

Araks Ararat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araks Ararat in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araks Ararat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Lernayin Artsakh

Draws

90%

Araks Ararat

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Araks Ararat lately — more wins on the board than Lernayin Artsakh.
90% — that's where the model lands on Araks Ararat taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Araks Ararat here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Lernayin Artsakh Clean Sheet 10%

Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lernayin Artsakh	Araks Ararat
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	7	12
Draws	2	4
Losses	22	15
Goals Scored	0.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 First League

Lernayin Artsakh vs Araks Ararat

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Sep 22, 2025 First League

Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sep 16, 2025 Armenian Cup

Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Nov 9, 2001 Premier League

Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Aug 6, 2001 Premier League

Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lernayin Artsakh 10 / 100

Araks Ararat 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lernayin Artsakh Araks Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Araks Ararat registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lernayin Artsakh found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Lernayin Artsakh VS Araks Ararat

0.38 Goals Scored 1.5

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sardarapat	30	24	4	2	81:18	76
2	BKMA 2	30	22	5	3	77:31	71
3	Hayq	30	22	2	6	59:24	68
4	Syunik	30	22	1	7	83:26	67
5	Andranik	30	21	3	6	76:30	66
6	Pyunik Yerevan 2	30	12	8	10	43:43	44
7	Ararat Yerevan 2	30	12	2	16	43:58	38
8	Araks Ararat	30	11	4	15	38:51	37
9	Urartu 2	30	9	9	12	46:54	36
10	Noah 2	30	8	7	15	39:58	31
11	Bentonit	30	7	8	15	33:49	29
12	Mika	30	7	7	16	32:60	28
13	Ararat-Armenia 2	30	6	6	18	46:62	24
14	Van 2	30	6	6	18	33:58	24
15	Lernayin Artsakh	30	7	2	21	22:74	23
16	Shirak Gyumri 2	30	4	6	20	34:89	18