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Lesotho W vs Angola W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Alegria Makua C.
42' Event
Viera M.
49' Event
Moalosi M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lesotho W
20%
Draws
64%
Angola W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Angola W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Angola W lately — more wins on the board than Lesotho W.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Angola W taking it.
  • Angola W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Angola W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lesotho W Clean Sheet 17%
Angola W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lesotho W Angola W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.4 0.93
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Lesotho W vs Angola W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lesotho W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moalosi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Angola W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alegria Makua C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lesotho W 10 / 100
Angola W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lesotho W Angola W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angola W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angola W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Angola W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lesotho W's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lesotho W VS Angola W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lesotho W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
24 Feb
South Africa W
1 : 1
Lesotho W
21 Feb
Malawi W
8 : 1
Lesotho W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
Page 1 of 6

Angola W

(Away)
24 Feb
Angola W
0 : 1
Malawi W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0
Angola W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Angola W
23 Oct
Angola W
0 : 0
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Eswatini W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Botswana W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia W 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Mozambique W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Madagascar W 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams