Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup

Arbaer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lettir play Arbaer in the Icelandic Cup. Arbaer are favorites here. Recently, Lettir averaged 1.73 goals scored and 3.77 conceded. Arbaer averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Lettir won 0, Arbaer won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.29 for Lettir and 3.04 for Arbaer. This points to a Arbaer double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Lettir

15%

Draws

57%

Arbaer

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arbaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Lettir picked up more points recently compared to Arbaer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.29 vs 3.04 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 87%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Lettir Clean Sheet 10%

Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lettir	Arbaer
Matches Played	22	15
Wins	7	8
Draws	0	0
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.73	2
Goals Conceded	3.77	3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.33	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.33	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Icelandic Cup

Lettir vs Arbaer

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lettir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermannsson M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Auttaphon A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.79

Avg xA / game 1.17

Arbaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyler J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gudjonsson S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lettir 27 / 100

Arbaer 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lettir Arbaer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arbaer Win (2)

Secondary Pick Arbaer & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7%

1.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lettir attacking → ← attacking Arbaer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lettir scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Arbaer let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Lettir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Arbaer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 24

2.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

4.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25