Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tambedou B.
Assist: Skvortsov M.
30' Event
Roosnupp M.
Assist: Tambedou B.
54' Event
Wendell
Assist: Ainsalu M.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Flora finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia
6%
Draws
4%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Levadia Clean Sheet 19%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Flora
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Flora vs Levadia
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Levadia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambedou B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roosnupp M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Flora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
Flora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Flora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Levadia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Flora
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2
Flora
Page 1 of 6

Flora

(Away)
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
14 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 2
Flora
08 Jul
Flora
2 : 3
Iberia 1999
02 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 3
Flora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)