Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2024/2025

Ashford United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lewes play Ashford United in the FA Trophy 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lewes averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Ashford United averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Lewes won 1, Ashford United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Lewes and 1.69 for Ashford United. This points to a Ashford United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Lewes

15%

Draws

45%

Ashford United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashford United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Lewes picked up more points recently compared to Ashford United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Lewes Clean Sheet 13%

Ashford United Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lewes	Ashford United
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	10	15
Draws	5	2
Losses	16	11
Goals Scored	1.23	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy

Lewes vs Ashford United

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Allen A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Ashford United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lockyer G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 39 / 100

Ashford United 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lewes Ashford United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ashford United or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lewes attacking → ← attacking Ashford United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Ashford United let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lewes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ashford United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 47

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00