Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu

China China

FA Cup 2025 Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Wed, May 21, 2025
0 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Zheng Long
(Penalty)
1' Event
Felipe
(Penalty)
2' Event
Song Long
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Qingdao Hainiu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Liaoning Tieren
6%
Draws
4%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Liaoning Tieren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Liaoning Tieren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Liaoning Tieren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Qingdao Hainiu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 League One
Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren
2:0
Nov 9, 2022 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:3
Sep 28, 2019 League Two
Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 95 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Qingdao Hainiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qingdao Hainiu conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Liaoning Tieren found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Qingdao Hainiu registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Qingdao Hainiu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Liaoning Tieren

(Home)
25 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
0 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
Page 1 of 6

Qingdao Hainiu

(Away)
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
14 Jul
Zhejiang Professional
3 : 2
Qingdao Hainiu
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Quanzhou Yassin2
Wenzhou Professional3
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
Shenzhen Jixiang1
Guangxi Lanhang0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Ningbo Fioren0
Guangdong Mingtu2
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Qingdao May Wind1
Taian Tiankuang5
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Shanghai Segenda1
Kunming City Star0
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Chunlei1
Beijing Technology0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
Guangdong Shudihong0
Guizhou Guiyang4
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Changchun Xidu0
Guangxi Hengchen1
TBD-
Shanghai Jiading Huilong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Jiangxi Lushan3
TBD-
Qingdao Red Lions-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Changning0
Nantong Haimen3
TBD-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Quanzhou Qinggong1
Hangzhou Linping0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Shanghai Zetian0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Shaanxi Northwest4
Ganzhou Ruishi1
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Guangzhou Dandelion3
Hubei Istar2
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
1/32-finals
Wenzhou Professional0
Dalian Kun City3
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
Shenzhen Jixiang0
Yanbian Longding1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Mingtu2
Shenzhen Juniors3
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Taian Tiankuang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union4
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Shanghai Segenda0
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Chunlei1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
Guizhou Guiyang2
Foshan Nanshi1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0
Liaoning Tieren2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Guangxi Hengchen2
Shanghai Jiading Huilong1
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
Jiangxi Lushan0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Nantong Haimen0
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Suzhou Dongwu4
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Wuxi Wugou2
Nantong Zhiyun0
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Shaanxi Northwest0
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Guangzhou Dandelion1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
1/16-finals
Dalian Kun City2
Changchun Yatai1
Yanbian Longding0
Qingdao West Coast2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Dalian Yingbo5
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Beijing Guoan5
Shaanxi Union2
Wuhan Three Towns1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Yunnan Yukun2
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2
Guizhou Guiyang0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Liaoning Tieren0
Qingdao Hainiu1
Guangxi Hengchen2
Meizhou Hakka1
Qingdao Red Lions0
Shandong Taishan5
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao0
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Shanghai Port6
Wuxi Wugou0
Shanghai Shenhua3
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Zhejiang Professional1
1/8-finals
Dalian Kun City0
Qingdao West Coast2
Dalian Yingbo1
Beijing Guoan2
Shaanxi Union1
Yunnan Yukun2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0
Qingdao Hainiu2
Guangxi Hengchen1
Shandong Taishan1
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Shenhua3
Henan Songshan Longmen3
Zhejiang Professional2
Quarter-finals
Qingdao West Coast2
Beijing Guoan3
Yunnan Yukun3
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Qingdao Hainiu1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Shanghai Shenhua3
Henan Songshan Longmen4
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan7
Yunnan Yukun0
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Final
Beijing Guoan3
Henan Songshan Longmen0