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Liberia vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno, Liberia
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Cordero R.
38' Event
Torres E.
(Penalty)
45'
Sub
Hernandez Y. In: Rios J.
Out: Hernandez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Liberia and Cartagines finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Liberia
39%
Draws
30%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Liberia Clean Sheet 18%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia Cartagines
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera Division
Liberia vs Cartagines
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Liberia
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Liberia
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Cartagines
1:0
May 3, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Cartagines
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 32 / 100
Cartagines 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liberia scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Cartagines has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Liberia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Cartagines
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1
Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1
Liberia
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

Cartagines

(Away)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)