Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Rosario Central

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Libertad Asuncion play Rosario Central in the Copa Libertadores. It looks like a close match. Recently, Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Rosario Central averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 1, Rosario Central won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.81 for Rosario Central. This points to a Rosario Central double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Libertad Asuncion

15%

Draws

52%

Rosario Central

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Libertad Asuncion picked up more points recently compared to Rosario Central.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 11%

Rosario Central Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Libertad Asuncion	Rosario Central
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	9
Goals Scored	1.33	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Rosario Central vs Libertad Asuncion

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

May 8, 2019 Copa Libertadores

Rosario Central vs Libertad Asuncion

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Apr 5, 2019 Copa Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Asuncion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Copetti E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 32 / 100

Rosario Central 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Libertad Asuncion Rosario Central

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rosario Central or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Libertad Asuncion attacking → ← attacking Rosario Central

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad Asuncion scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Rosario Central let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Libertad Asuncion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rosario Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 51

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0