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Libertad FC vs 3 de Febrero

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Libertad FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Libertad FC
6%
Draws
4%
3 de Febrero
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Libertad FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • 3 de Febrero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Libertad FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • 3 de Febrero arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Libertad FC Clean Sheet 10%
3 de Febrero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad FC 3 de Febrero
Matches Played 10 20
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC vs 3 de Febrero
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
3 de Febrero vs Libertad FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad FC 83 / 100
3 de Febrero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad FC 3 de Febrero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

3 de Febrero let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Attacking prowess: Libertad FC scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

3 de Febrero lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libertad FC VS 3 de Febrero
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad FC

(Home)
28 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
7 : 1
Libertad FC
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
13 Sept
Libertad FC
2 : 1
Deportivo Shalon
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
01 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
2 : 1
Libertad FC
Page 1 of 2

3 de Febrero

(Away)
29 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
12 : 1
3 de Febrero
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
16 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
9 : 1
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
28 Aug
3 de Febrero
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams