Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Libertad Limpeno W vs Independiente del Valle W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2022 Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Barros N.
33'
Barros N.
88' Event
Caicedo C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Independiente del Valle W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Libertad Limpeno W
39%
Draws
30%
Independiente del Valle W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Libertad Limpeno W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Libertad Limpeno W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente del Valle W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Libertad Limpeno W Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente del Valle W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad Limpeno W Independiente del Valle W
Matches Played 27 13
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2022 Copa Libertadores Women
Libertad Limpeno W vs Independiente del Valle W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Limpeno W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Independiente del Valle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad Limpeno W 31 / 100
Independiente del Valle W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad Limpeno W Independiente del Valle W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Independiente del Valle W conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.

Recent resilience: Libertad Limpeno W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Libertad Limpeno W found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Libertad Limpeno W VS Independiente del Valle W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Limpeno W

(Home)
12 Oct
Colo Colo W
1 : 0
Libertad Limpeno W
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
06 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
U. De Chile W
03 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 1
Libertad Limpeno W
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
1 : 3
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 6

Independiente del Valle W

(Away)
11 Oct
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
08 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
5 : 0
Always Ready W
05 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
1 : 0
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Oct
Corinthians W
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle W
19 Oct
Boca Juniors W
2 : 0
Independiente del Valle W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali W330014:39
2Corinthians W320110:26
3Olimpia Asuncion W31023:63
4Always Ready W30031:170
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boca Juniors W32108:47
2Ferroviaria W32104:27
3Nanas W31026:83
4Defensor Sp. W30033:70
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras W330012:19
2U. De Chile W320110:56
3Independiente del Valle W31022:103
4Libertad Limpeno W30032:100
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Cali W330011:19
2S. Morning W32018:16
3A. Lima W30122:41
4Lara W30121:161
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2022 (Play Offs)