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Libya W vs Ethiopia W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018
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Match Events

5' Event
18' Event
21' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-8, with Ethiopia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Libya W
15%
Draws
85%
Ethiopia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Libya W haven't matched Ethiopia W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ethiopia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Libya W Clean Sheet 10%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya W Ethiopia W
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0 2.91
Goals Conceded 7.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Libya W
7:0
Apr 4, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Libya W vs Ethiopia W
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya W 10 / 100
Ethiopia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya W Ethiopia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.

Ethiopia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Libya W scored in 0% of their last 7 games.

Ethiopia W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Libya W VS Ethiopia W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
6.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya W

(Home)
01 Nov
Libya W
0 : 7
Afghanistan W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Tunisia W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Sept
Libya W
:
Equatorial Guinea W
18 Sept
Equatorial Guinea W
:
Libya W
Page 1 of 2

Ethiopia W

(Away)
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
16 Feb
Ethiopia W
7 : 0
Djibouti W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W 3
Senegal W 2
Libya W 0
Ethiopia W 15
Ivory Coast W 1
Morocco W 1
Sierra Leone W -
Mali W -
Gambia W 4
Burkina Faso W 3
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W 3
Central Africa W 1
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Kenya W 1
Uganda W 0
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Lesotho W 3
Eswatini W 1
TBD -
South Africa W -
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 4
Namibia W 0
Zimbabwe W 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Algeria W 6
Ethiopia W 3
Ivory Coast W 2
Mali W 2
Gambia W 0
Nigeria W 7
Congo W 0
Cameroon W 10
Kenya W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Lesotho W 0
South Africa W 7
Zambia W 2
Zimbabwe W 2
TBD -
TBD -