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Lichtenberg vs CFC Hertha

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024
Sat, May 4, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lichtenberg host CFC Hertha in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Lichtenberg at 2.32 goals for, 1.51 against; CFC Hertha at 2 for, 1.94 against. Head-to-head, Lichtenberg have won 2 to CFC Hertha's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 4, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 0.94) back Lichtenberg to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lichtenberg
15%
Draws
37%
CFC Hertha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lichtenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lichtenberg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 20%
CFC Hertha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lichtenberg CFC Hertha
Matches Played 37 16
Wins 21 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.32 2
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs CFC Hertha
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg
2:2
Jul 31, 2022 Club Friendly
Lichtenberg vs CFC Hertha
1:5
Jun 8, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs CFC Hertha
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lichtenberg 49 / 100
CFC Hertha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lichtenberg CFC Hertha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lichtenberg scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: CFC Hertha conceded in 94% of 16 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Lichtenberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lichtenberg VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lichtenberg

(Home)
19 Sept
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
TUS Makkabi
13 Sept
Stendal
1 : 0
Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
16 Aug
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Lichtenberg
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
Page 1 of 8

CFC Hertha

(Away)
04 Feb
CFC Hertha
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
28 Jan
CFC Hertha
2 : 2
Lichtenberg
07 Jan
Hertha Berlin II
3 : 1
CFC Hertha
25 Nov
Rostocker FC
1 : 0
CFC Hertha
12 Nov
CFC Hertha
4 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)