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Lidkoping vs Motala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lidkoping play Motala in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lidkoping averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Motala averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Lidkoping won 1, Motala won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Lidkoping and 1.88 for Motala. This points to a Motala double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lidkoping
23%
Draws
44%
Motala
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Motala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Lidkoping picked up more points recently compared to Motala.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Lidkoping Clean Sheet 10%
Motala Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidkoping Motala
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Motala
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Motala
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Lidkoping
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Motala
2:0
May 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Lidkoping
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lidkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertilsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Odberg A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidkoping 32 / 100
Motala 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidkoping Motala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Motala or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lidkoping attacking → ← attacking Motala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lidkoping scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Motala let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Lidkoping went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Motala lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 50
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419