Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023

FK Varaklani

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2023. Lielupe are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Lielupe at 1.41 goals for, 3.94 against; FK Varaklani at 0.67 for, 4 against. Past meetings favor Lielupe slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2023, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 2.83, favoring Lielupe. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Lielupe

15%

Draws

FK Varaklani

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lielupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lielupe come out ahead of FK Varaklani on wins alone.
85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Lielupe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lielupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 94%

Over 3.5 Goals 65%

Over 4.5 Goals 29%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Lielupe Clean Sheet 10%

FK Varaklani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lielupe	FK Varaklani
Matches Played	17	3
Wins	4	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	13	3
Goals Scored	1.41	0.67
Goals Conceded	3.94	4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.44	2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Latvian Cup

Lielupe vs FK Varaklani

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lielupe 29 / 100

FK Varaklani 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lielupe FK Varaklani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lielupe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Varaklani has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Lielupe scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Varaklani's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lielupe VS FK Varaklani

0.88 Goals Scored 0.67

5 Goals Conceded 4

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Lielupe

(Home)

31 May

Lielupe

0 : 6

FK Metta

17 May

FK Union / JFK Daugava

5 : 0

Lielupe

02 Jun

Lielupe

1 : 2

Rigas Futbola Skola

17 May

Lielupe

5 : 1

Valka

12 Jun

Beitar

5 : 3

Lielupe

Page 1 of 4

FK Varaklani

(Away)

14 May

Lielupe

3 : 0

FK Varaklani

08 May

Kengaroos

4 : 2

FK Varaklani

17 Jul

FK Varaklani

0 : 5

Latgols / Ludza

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Iecava -

TBD -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

Augsdaugavas -

TBD -

Betsafe -

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance -

TBD -

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Namejs 1

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS -

TBD -

Lielupe 3

FK Varaklani 0

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sigulda 2

Sports United/Cesis 3

TBD -

Bebri -

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United -

TBD -

LSPA -

Riga United -

TBD -

RSU -

FK Union -

TBD -

Dobele Allegro 1

FK Ludza 0

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

RTU 0

JFC Viola 3

TBD -

JFK Daugava -

1/64-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 5

FK Alberts 1

Iecava 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

Augsdaugavas 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 4

Kadaga/Ostas 0

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka 0

Marupe 7

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors 0

Upesciema Warriors 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS 0

Lielupe 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 4

Bebri 1

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK 1

Jekabpils SC 3

Plavinas 0

FK Limbazi 3

Ogre United 2

LSPA 1

Riga United 3

RSU 2

FK Union 4

Dobele Allegro 1

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

JFC Viola 3

JFK Daugava 4

1/32-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 2

Rigas Futbola Skola 4

Betsafe 1

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Marupe 2

Skanste 0

Upesciema Warriors 0

FK Smiltene 2

Beitar 5

Lielupe 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 0

Grobina 7

AFA Olaine 4

JFK Ventspils 0

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United 4

Riga United 0

FK Union 0

Alberts JDFS 10

Rezekne 4

JFK Daugava 1

1/16-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Rigas Futbola Skola 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Dinamo Riga 0

Marupe 11

FK Smiltene 1

Beitar 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Grobina 2

AFA Olaine 3

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC 3

Ogre United 1

Alberts JDFS 8

Rezekne 0

1/8-finals

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Betsafe 0

Riga FC 5

FK Metta 2

FK Liepaja 3

Marupe 0

Beitar 1

Valmiera 2

Super Nova 0

AFA Olaine 1

Tukums 2000 3

Jelgava 0

RFS 3

Jekabpils SC 0

Alberts JDFS 6

Quarter-finals

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 7

Beitar 0

Valmiera 0

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 4

Alberts JDFS 1

Semi-finals

Riga FC 2

FK Liepaja 1

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 3

Final

Riga FC 2

RFS 1

Lielupe vs FK Varaklani

Latvia

Lielupe

FK Varaklani

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lielupe

FK Varaklani

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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