Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lienz vs Atus Ferlach

Austria Austria

Karnten 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2015/2016 game between Lienz and Atus Ferlach finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atus Ferlach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lienz
20%
Draws
50%
Atus Ferlach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atus Ferlach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atus Ferlach come out ahead of Lienz on wins alone.
  • Atus Ferlach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Karnten 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atus Ferlach have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lienz Clean Sheet 19%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienz Atus Ferlach
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.76 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 Karnten
Lienz vs Atus Ferlach
0:4
Sep 25, 2016 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Lienz
3:0
May 28, 2016 Karnten
Lienz vs Atus Ferlach
0:4
Oct 26, 2015 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Lienz
2:1
May 18, 2013 Karnten
Lienz vs Atus Ferlach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienz 10 / 100
Atus Ferlach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienz Atus Ferlach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atus Ferlach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Atus Ferlach conceded in 73% of 40 recent games.

Lienz scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Lienz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atus Ferlach
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienz

(Home)
13 Jul
Lienz
0 : 11
Udinese
19 Jul
Al Hilal
5 : 0
Lienz
10 Jul
Lienz
0 : 9
Rennes
16 Jun
Bleiburg
3 : 0
Lienz
09 Jun
Lienz
2 : 0
Volkermarkt
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Atus Ferlach

(Away)
18 Sept
Atus Ferlach
3 : 1
Lendorf
11 Sept
KAC 1909
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
04 Sept
Atus Ferlach
2 : 2
SC St. Veit
29 Aug
Seeboden
1 : 1
Atus Ferlach
21 Aug
Atus Ferlach
1 : 2
Launsdorf
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