Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lienz vs Nussdorf

Austria Austria

Karnten 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2008/2009 game between Lienz and Nussdorf finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lienz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lienz
15%
Draws
0%
Nussdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lienz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Nussdorf's 0.93 goals per match outpaces what Lienz have produced (0.7).
  • Nussdorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lienz Clean Sheet 20%
Nussdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienz Nussdorf
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 0.7 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2009 Karnten
Lienz vs Nussdorf
3:2
Oct 4, 2008 Karnten
Nussdorf vs Lienz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienz 10 / 100
Nussdorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienz Nussdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nussdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nussdorf has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Nussdorf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lienz scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nussdorf
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienz

(Home)
13 Jul
Lienz
0 : 11
Udinese
19 Jul
Al Hilal
5 : 0
Lienz
10 Jul
Lienz
0 : 9
Rennes
16 Jun
Bleiburg
3 : 0
Lienz
09 Jun
Lienz
2 : 0
Volkermarkt
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Nussdorf

(Away)
18 Sept
Dellach/Gail
3 : 0
Nussdorf
11 Sept
Nussdorf
0 : 5
Saint Michael Lavanttal
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
SAK Klagenfurt
3 : 0
Nussdorf
22 Aug
Nussdorf
1 : 3
Lendorf
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