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Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022 Estádio Da Liga Muçulmana, Matola
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Liga Desportivo Maputo
39%
Draws
31%
Incomati Xinavane
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Incomati Xinavane have won more games recently than Liga Desportivo Maputo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Liga Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liga Desportivo Maputo Incomati Xinavane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2022 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
2:1
Jun 26, 2022 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
0:0
Aug 27, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:2
May 8, 2021 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
1:0
Nov 10, 2019 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga Desportivo Maputo 41 / 100
Incomati Xinavane 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liga Desportivo Maputo Incomati Xinavane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Liga Desportivo Maputo scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Incomati Xinavane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Liga Desportivo Maputo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liga Desportivo Maputo VS Incomati Xinavane
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liga Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
03 Dec
Liga Desportivo Maputo
0 : 3
Ferroviario Nampula
26 Nov
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
Liga Desportivo Maputo
21 Nov
Liga Desportivo Maputo
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
13 Nov
Liga Desportivo Maputo
4 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
06 Nov
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Liga Desportivo Maputo
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Incomati Xinavane

(Away)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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