Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ligorna vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Spezzano C.
77' Event
Guida S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Ligorna and Imperia Calcio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ligorna
6%
Draws
4%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ligorna a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Imperia Calcio
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Ligorna
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Imperia Calcio
1:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Ligorna
1:3
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Ligorna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Spezzano C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guida S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 85 / 100
Imperia Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ligorna scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Imperia Calcio has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Imperia Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)