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Ligorna vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Spezzano C.
77' Event
Guida S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Ligorna and Imperia Calcio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ligorna
20%
Draws
29%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ligorna a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Imperia Calcio
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Ligorna
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Imperia Calcio
1:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Ligorna
1:3
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Ligorna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Spezzano C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guida S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 40 / 100
Imperia Calcio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ligorna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Imperia Calcio
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)