Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lihula JK vs Elbato

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-1, with Lihula JK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lihula JK
25%
Draws
35%
Elbato
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lihula JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lihula JK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lihula JK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Lihula JK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lihula JK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lihula JK Clean Sheet 10%
Elbato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lihula JK Elbato
Matches Played 5 2
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 3 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.2 5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2017 Estonian Cup
Lihula JK vs Elbato
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lihula JK 83 / 100
Elbato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lihula JK Elbato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lihula JK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Elbato conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Lihula JK found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).

Recent resilience: Lihula JK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lihula JK VS Elbato
3 Goals Scored 0.5
3.2 Goals Conceded 5
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 100%
80% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lihula JK

(Home)
25 Jul
Anija
5 : 1
Lihula JK
21 Jun
Lihula JK
7 : 1
Elbato
22 Jul
Levadia
8 : 0
Lihula JK
12 Jun
Lihula JK
7 : 1
Lelle
26 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
1 : 0
Lihula JK

Elbato

(Away)
06 Aug
Elbato
0 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
21 Jun
Lihula JK
7 : 1
Elbato

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Kose 1
Raasiku Joker 10
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Rakvere 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Ambla -
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Anija 7
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Elbato 1
Lihula JK 7
Castovanni Eagles -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn II 0
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 13
Viimsi JK 2 0
TBD -
Koeru -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
Soccernet 1
TBD -
Lelle -
FC Tartu 3
Eston Villa 1
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
JK Poseidon II 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 7
Rakvere II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 2
Saue JK Laagri 10
Flora U19 5
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Raplamaa 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Paide Linnameeskond 27
FC Hiiu United 0
Imavere Forss 1
Jogeva 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Nomme Utd 0
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Rumori Calcio II 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Jogeva Wolves 5
Odratakkel 1
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Otepaa 6
Jarva-Jaani 18
JK 32. keskkool 2
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Tartu Ulikool 1
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Wolves 0
TransferWise 2
Kohila -
TBD -
Oismae Torm 2
Jogeva Wolves II 3
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva 1
Kadrina SK Moe 4
Loo JK -
TBD -
Navi Vutiselts 2
Rada Kuusalu 4
Kadakas 7
Raudteetoolised 2
TBD -
Rapla Lokomotiiv -
Molycorp Silmet 2
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Elva -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
FC Ararat 5
SK Taaksi 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Maardu Aliens 2
Narva United -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Olympic Tallinn 1
Helios 1
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Narva 8
Pohja-Sakala 0
Legion 0
Levadia Tallinn III 3
JK Poseidon 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Rakvere 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Ambla 1
Tallinna Depoo 1
Ganvix Turi 12
Anija 5
Lihula JK 1
Castovanni Eagles 0
FCI Tallinn 4
Kalju 1
Koeru 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Lelle 3
FC Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Santos Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora U19 0
Tartu JK Welco 2
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Jogeva 3
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 8
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Viimsi JK 6
Zenit Tallinn 5
Otepaa 2
Jarva-Jaani 1
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu United 10
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu Ulikool 2
TransferWise 3
Kohila 3
Jogeva Wolves II 0
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tulevik 1
Kuressaare 12
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Loo JK 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Kadakas 2
Rapla Lokomotiiv 1
Molycorp Silmet 0
Rumori Calcio 6
Elva 8
FC Ararat 0
SK Taaksi 1
Maardu Aliens 6
Narva United 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Flora 7
1/16-finals
Narva 9
Levadia Tallinn III 2
JK Poseidon 0
Rakvere 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Ganvix Turi 1
Anija 0
FCI Tallinn 16
Kalju 8
Lelle 0
FC Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
Tartu JK Welco 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viimsi JK 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Pohja-Tallinna 5
Maardu United 5
TransferWise 4
Kohila 0
Tulevik 8
Kuressaare 9
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kadakas 2
Rumori Calcio 3
Elva 3
Maardu Aliens 0
Narva United 0
Flora 8
1/8-finals
Narva 2
Rakvere 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Levadia 7
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu United -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare 6
Rumori Calcio 0
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Levadia 1
Flora Tallinn U21 7
Tulevik 3
Kuressaare 0
Flora 7
Semi-finals
Narva 0
Levadia 5
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Flora 9
Final
Levadia 1
Flora 0