Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lilla Torg vs IFK Berga

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Magnusson I.
83' Event
Hakansson S.
88' Event
Hakansson S.

AI Match Summary

Lilla Torg in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lilla Torg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lilla Torg
30%
Draws
33%
IFK Berga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lilla Torg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lilla Torg haven't matched IFK Berga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lilla Torg a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lilla Torg IFK Berga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 13 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Lilla Torg
1:3
May 24, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs IFK Berga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lilla Torg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakansson S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lilla Torg 38 / 100
IFK Berga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lilla Torg IFK Berga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lilla Torg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Berga let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lilla Torg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Lilla Torg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lilla Torg VS IFK Berga
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lilla Torg

(Home)
18 Sept
Lilla Torg
2 : 2
Linero IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
29 Aug
Lilla Torg
3 : 1
Rappe GOIF
23 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

IFK Berga

(Away)
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
IFK Berga
1 : 1
Staffanstorp United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 22 17 3 2 57:19 54
2 IFK Trelleborg 22 13 5 4 45:20 44
3 Oskarshamn 22 13 3 6 55:26 42
4 IFK Berga 22 11 4 7 47:33 37
5 Linero IF 22 11 2 9 39:38 35
6 Vaxjo Norra 22 9 7 6 30:30 34
7 Nosaby IF 22 9 6 7 39:37 33
8 Osterlen FF 22 8 5 9 34:35 29
9 Lilla Torg 22 6 9 7 28:35 27
10 Solvesborgs 22 8 1 13 32:40 25
11 Staffanstorp United 22 5 8 9 33:38 23
12 Torns 22 7 0 15 30:59 21
13 Rappe GOIF 22 4 5 13 24:50 17
14 IFK Karlshamn 22 3 2 17 23:56 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)