Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lille vs Brest

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Roy E.
58' Event
Labeau Lascary R.
Assist: Ajorque L.
64'
Ajorque L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lille
17%
Draws
13%
Brest
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lille have won more games recently than Brest.
  • Lille are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lille Clean Sheet 20%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Brest
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Lille vs Brest
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lille
3:3
May 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lille
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Brest
3:1
Mar 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Lille
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Perrin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brest Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau Lascary R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 67 / 100
Brest 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Brest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lille scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Brest conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Lille went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS Brest
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Lille
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
17 May
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
10 May
Monaco
0 : 1
Lille
03 May
Lille
1 : 1
Le Havre
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Brest

(Away)
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
17 May
Brest
1 : 1
Angers
13 May
Brest
1 : 2
Strasbourg
10 May
PSG
1 : 0
Brest
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)