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Lille W vs Fleury 91 W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Fleury 91 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Lille W
35%
Draws
40%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fleury 91 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lille W haven't matched Fleury 91 W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lille W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Fleury 91 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fleury 91 W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lille W Clean Sheet 16%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lille W vs Fleury 91 W
1:5
Mar 30, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Lille W
2:2
Feb 14, 2024 Coupe de France Women
Fleury 91 W vs Lille W
5:1
Oct 7, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Fleury 91 W
2:1
Aug 14, 2020 Club Friendly Women
Fleury 91 W vs Lille W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 41 / 100
Fleury 91 W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Lille W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Fleury 91 W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lille W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Fleury 91 W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
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Fleury 91 W

(Away)
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
15 Aug
Fleury 91 W
0 : 0
Nantes W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)