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Lillestrom vs Degerfors

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jebara C.
15' Event
Jebara C.
31' Event
Fritzson L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lillestrom and Degerfors finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Degerfors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lillestrom
11%
Draws
9%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lillestrom carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lillestrom a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 19%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Degerfors
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Degerfors
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Top Goalscorer Jebara C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Fritzson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berisson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 76 / 100
Degerfors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lillestrom's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lillestrom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Degerfors
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Lillestrom
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
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Degerfors

(Away)
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
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