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Lillestrom vs Degerfors

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jebara C.
15' Event
Jebara C.
31' Event
Fritzson L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lillestrom and Degerfors finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Degerfors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lillestrom
15%
Draws
34%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lillestrom a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 15%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Degerfors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Degerfors
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Top Goalscorer Jebara C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Fritzson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Berisson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 39 / 100
Degerfors 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lillestrom's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lillestrom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Degerfors
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3
Lillestrom
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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Degerfors

(Away)
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
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