Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Johnson G.
30' Event
56' Event
Dybevik A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lillestrom and Kongsvinger finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lillestrom
20%
Draws
44%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Kongsvinger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lillestrom have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Kongsvinger
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.39 3.21
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger
2:4
Nov 1, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Lillestrom
0:2
May 16, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger
2:0
Sep 21, 2020 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger
2:0
Aug 24, 2020 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Lillestrom
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dybevik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 14 / 100
Kongsvinger 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kongsvinger conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Lillestrom's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Kongsvinger
1.38 Goals Scored 4.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3
Lillestrom
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 7

Kongsvinger

(Away)
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Lyn
26 Aug
Odds BK
0 : 1
Kongsvinger
Page 1 of 6