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Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Johnson G.
30' Event
56' Event
Dybevik A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lillestrom and Kongsvinger finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lillestrom
33%
Draws
40%
Kongsvinger
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kongsvinger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kongsvinger are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lillestrom have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Kongsvinger
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger
2:4
Nov 1, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Lillestrom
0:2
May 16, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger
2:0
Sep 21, 2020 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Kongsvinger
2:0
Aug 24, 2020 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Lillestrom
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dybevik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 26 / 100
Kongsvinger 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Kongsvinger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kongsvinger conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Lillestrom's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Kongsvinger
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
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Kongsvinger

(Away)
26 Jul
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 6
Kongsvinger
03 Jul
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Sogndal
27 Jun
Haugesund
4 : 2
Kongsvinger
21 Jun
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Stromsgodset
14 Jun
Hodd
1 : 2
Kongsvinger
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