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Lindome vs Bergdalens IK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lindome play Bergdalens IK in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025. Lindome are favorites here. Recently, Lindome averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Bergdalens IK averaged 1.1 goals scored and 3.57 conceded. In past meetings, Lindome won 2, Bergdalens IK won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 15, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Lindome and 1.46 for Bergdalens IK. This points to a Lindome double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Lindome
17%
Draws
20%
Bergdalens IK
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lindome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Lindome picked up more points recently compared to Bergdalens IK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.46 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Lindome Clean Sheet 16%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lindome Bergdalens IK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 2.09 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Lindome vs Bergdalens IK
5:0
May 31, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Lindome
1:4
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Lindome
4:2
Jun 7, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Lindome vs Bergdalens IK
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lindome Compare

Top Goalscorer Rauf Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bosnic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bergdalens IK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lindome 60 / 100
Bergdalens IK 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lindome Bergdalens IK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lindome Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lindome & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lindome attacking → ← attacking Bergdalens IK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lindome scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Bergdalens IK let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Lindome went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bergdalens IK lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 15
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laholms26193469:3360
2Tvaaker26176370:2457
3Astorps26136743:3245
4Onsala26135864:4144
5Frolunda261331050:5042
6Lindome261321163:5441
7Qviding261151057:4838
8Jonsereds26108848:4838
9BK Astrio261061055:4436
10Landvetter261031347:5533
11Hestrafors26681240:4826
12Boljan26651533:5923
13Varbergs GIF26711829:5822
14Bergdalens IK26232125:999