Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
McKee C.
59' Event
McKee C.
63'
Sub
Nolan R. In: Wells D.
Out: Nolan R.

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Linfield
35%
Draws
12%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Linfield have won more games recently than Ballymena.
  • Model gives Linfield a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Linfield Clean Sheet 17%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Ballymena
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
0:3
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
2:1
Jan 28, 2026 Irish League Cup
Linfield vs Ballymena
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Linfield
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer McKee C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edogun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 84 / 100
Ballymena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linfield went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Linfield scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ballymena has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Ballymena
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)