Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Windsor Park, Belfast
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Linfield host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Linfield have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Ballymena's 2.63 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Linfield slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.13, favoring Linfield. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Linfield
6%
Draws
90%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Linfield have won more games recently than Ballymena.
  • Model gives Ballymena a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Ballymena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
2:1
Jan 28, 2026 Irish League Cup
Linfield vs Ballymena
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Linfield
1:0
Feb 7, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Linfield
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 10 / 100
Ballymena 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linfield scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Ballymena let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Linfield has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Ballymena
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1
Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)