Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Wylie B.
42' Event
Shevlin M.
60' Event
Okoro Z.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Linfield
20%
Draws
38%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Coleraine have won more games recently than Linfield.
  • Win probability leans Linfield's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Coleraine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Coleraine
0:3
Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Linfield
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Coleraine
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Linfield
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Linfield
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Wylie B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shevlin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 40 / 100
Coleraine 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linfield found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Coleraine has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Linfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Coleraine
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
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Coleraine

(Away)
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portstewart
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Larne38258573:2683
2Coleraine38255883:3780
3Glentoran38238773:3877
4Linfield381991061:3366
5Cliftonville381581555:5953
6Dungannon381512242:7746
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)