Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lisse vs FC 's-Gravenzande

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025 Sportpark Ter Specke, Lisse
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
van Beek R.
42' Event
van der Putten R.
54' Event
Bakker D.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Lisse and FC 's-Gravenzande finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lisse
20%
Draws
38%
FC 's-Gravenzande
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lisse come out ahead of FC 's-Gravenzande on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lisse's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 20%
FC 's-Gravenzande Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse FC 's-Gravenzande
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 20 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs FC 's-Gravenzande
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
FC 's-Gravenzande vs Lisse
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisse Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Putten R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakker D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC 's-Gravenzande Compare

Top Goalscorer van Beek R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 42 / 100
FC 's-Gravenzande 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse FC 's-Gravenzande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisse's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

FC 's-Gravenzande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Lisse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS FC 's-Gravenzande
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
30 May
Lisse
0 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 May
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0
Lisse
23 May
SVV Scheveningen
1 : 3
Lisse
16 May
Lisse
3 : 2
Roosendaal
10 May
UNA
0 : 2
Lisse
Page 1 of 7

FC 's-Gravenzande

(Away)
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
14 Jun
Groene Ster
4 : 3
FC 's-Gravenzande
11 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 1
Groene Ster
04 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
2 : 2
SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1IJsselmeervogels34264498:3582
2Harkemase Boys34217674:4670
3Sportlust34207778:3767
4DVS '33 Ermelo34198778:5265
5Sparta Nijkerk341610868:5058
6USV Hercules341661265:5654
7VV DOVO341571243:3952
8Genemuiden341391252:4448
9Urk341521756:6747
10Eemdijk3411101364:6643
11TEC341191446:5642
12Rohda Raalte341171663:6840
13HSC '21341241850:6640
14Huizen341061844:6236
15Excelsior 3134991646:7136
16Ajax (Am)34981748:6435
17DEM34862043:8530
18HBC34172640:9210
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HSV Hoek342010477:3370
2Kozakken Boys34197872:2964
3Blauw Geel34197873:4564
4VV Kloetinge34187966:4261
5Gemert341771057:5058
6Lisse341591055:4154
7UNA341581151:4853
8VVSB341561361:6151
9SteDoCo341391257:4648
10Meerssen341361544:5045
11Rijnvogels341361563:7245
12ASWH341261659:7342
13TOGB341181555:5341
14GOES349121353:6539
15OJC Rosmalen341161745:5839
16FC 's-Gravenzande34971851:6934
17Smitshoek34672153:9425
18HV & CV Quick34542542:10519
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)