Sport Picks
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Ter Specke, Lisse 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Lisse and Rijnvogels finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijnvogels.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Rijnvogels's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lisse Clean Sheet 12%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | Rijnvogels |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Lisse
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Lisse
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 10 / 100
Rijnvogels 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse Rijnvogels
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lisse's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Rijnvogels let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Lisse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS Rijnvogels
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
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Rijnvogels
(Away) 22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1 VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
02 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 0 VV Bennekom
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13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
30 Aug
GOES
1 : 4 Rijnvogels
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0 Rijnvogels
01 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
4 : 2 Rijnvogels
06 Jun
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
