Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Ter Specke

VV Zwaluwen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lisse play VV Zwaluwen in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lisse averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1 conceded. VV Zwaluwen averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Lisse won 2, VV Zwaluwen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Lisse and 1.69 for VV Zwaluwen. This points to a Lisse double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Lisse

18%

Draws

32%

VV Zwaluwen

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Lisse picked up more points recently compared to VV Zwaluwen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Lisse Clean Sheet 13%

VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lisse	VV Zwaluwen
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	14
Draws	6	5
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.7	1.83
Goals Conceded	1	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie

Lisse vs VV Zwaluwen

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie

VV Zwaluwen vs Lisse

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 48 / 100

VV Zwaluwen 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lisse VV Zwaluwen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lisse or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lisse attacking → ← attacking VV Zwaluwen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisse scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

VV Zwaluwen let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Lisse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VV Zwaluwen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 47

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25