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Lithuania U18 vs Estonia U18

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Tamasevicius A.
23' Event
Jansonas R.
29' Event
Gudelevicius E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Lithuania U18 and Estonia U18 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lithuania U18
20%
Draws
22%
Estonia U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lithuania U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Estonia U18 haven't matched Lithuania U18's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania U18 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Estonia U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U18 Estonia U18
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Estonia U18
2:1
Jan 11, 2016 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Estonia U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansonas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudelevicius E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Estonia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pajo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U18 85 / 100
Estonia U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U18 Estonia U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lithuania U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Estonia U18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U18 VS Estonia U18
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U18

(Home)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
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Estonia U18

(Away)
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
25 Sept
Scotland U18
4 : 1
Estonia U18
23 Sept
Estonia U18
0 : 1
Poland U18
21 Sept
France U18
3 : 0
Estonia U18
26 Mar
Switzerland U18
0 : 1
Estonia U18
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