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Lithuania U18 vs Moldova U18

World World

Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2017
Sun, Jan 15, 2017
2 - 3
09:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Scoarta R.
42' Event
Vitkus D.
85' Event
Iurasco N.

AI Match Summary

Moldova U18 in this Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2017 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Lithuania U18
30%
Draws
8%
Moldova U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Moldova U18 haven't matched Lithuania U18's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lithuania U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lithuania U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Moldova U18, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lithuania U18 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 68%
Moldova U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U18 Moldova U18
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2018 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Moldova U18
2:0
Jan 15, 2017 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Moldova U18
2:3
Jan 4, 2015 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Moldova U18 vs Lithuania U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitkus D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kazukolovas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Moldova U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scoarta R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iurasco N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U18 95 / 100
Moldova U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U18 Moldova U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova U18 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U18 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Moldova U18 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U18 VS Moldova U18
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U18

(Home)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
Page 1 of 6

Moldova U18

(Away)
07 Sept
Moldova U18
0 : 2
Romania U18
05 Sept
Moldova U18
1 : 1
Romania U18
19 Nov
Georgia U18
2 : 0
Moldova U18
17 Nov
Georgia U18
2 : 1
Moldova U18
10 Sept
Moldova U18
0 : 5
Romania U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Belarus U18 1
Tajikistan U18 0
Lithuania U18 2
Moldova U18 3
Estonia U18 2
India U18 1
Iran U18 0
Azerbaijan U18 1
Semi-finals
Belarus U18 4
Moldova U18 0
Estonia U18 0
Azerbaijan U18 3
Final
Belarus U18 1
Azerbaijan U18 2
Moldova U18 1
Estonia U18 0