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Lithuania U21 vs FC Hegelmann

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Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Kucys A.
89' Event
Jonaitis L.
Assist: Hugo Figueredo

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Lithuania U21 and FC Hegelmann finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lithuania U21
30%
Draws
34%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Hegelmann come out ahead of Lithuania U21 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 13%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U21 FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U21 vs FC Hegelmann
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucys A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonaitis L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U21 35 / 100
FC Hegelmann 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U21 FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

FC Hegelmann lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U21 VS FC Hegelmann
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
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FC Hegelmann

(Away)
27 Jul
FC Hegelmann
2 : 3
Zalgiris
24 Jul
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FC Hegelmann
20 Jul
Suduva
5 : 1
FC Hegelmann
16 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 0
FC Hegelmann
09 Jul
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
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