Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Little Rock Rangers vs FC Tulsa

USA USA

US Open Cup Episcopal Collegiate School, Little Rock, AR
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
St.Clair H.
Assist: Bruno Lapa
32' Event
Webber J.
51' Event
Kistmann R.
Assist: Coca J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with FC Tulsa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Little Rock Rangers
6%
Draws
4%
FC Tulsa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Little Rock Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Little Rock Rangers come out ahead of FC Tulsa on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Little Rock Rangers taking it.
  • Little Rock Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Tulsa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Little Rock Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Little Rock Rangers FC Tulsa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 US Open Cup
Little Rock Rangers vs FC Tulsa
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Little Rock Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kistmann R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turner A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FC Tulsa Compare

Top Goalscorer St.Clair H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Webber J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Little Rock Rangers 85 / 100
FC Tulsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Little Rock Rangers FC Tulsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Little Rock Rangers scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Little Rock Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: FC Tulsa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Little Rock Rangers VS FC Tulsa
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Little Rock Rangers

(Home)
16 Jul
Little Rock Rangers
1 : 2
GFI Woodlands
10 Jul
Hattiesburg
2 : 2
Little Rock Rangers
09 Jul
Little Rock Rangers
1 : 0
Memphis FC
05 Jul
Little Rock Rangers
2 : 0
Louisiana Krewe
03 Jul
Red River
1 : 2
Little Rock Rangers
Page 1 of 6

FC Tulsa

(Away)
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1
FC Tulsa
21 Jun
FC Tulsa
1 : 2
Colorado Springs
18 Jun
FC Tulsa
2 : 0
Monterey Bay
13 Jun
Charleston
5 : 1
FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Naples3
Red Force0
South Georgia Tormenta-
America CFL Spurs-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando City-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhode Island4
Faialense0
Motown0
Hartford Athletic2
Chattanooga2
Kalonji1
Tennessee Tempo1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Charlotte Independence4
Ristozi FC1
Charleston2
Florida Badgers1
Richmond Kickers2
Northern Virginia0
West Chester United1
Loudoun United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
DC United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asheville City3
Greenville Triumph1
Vistula1
One Knoxville3
Vermont Green1
Portland Hearts of Pine0
Westchester SC2
NY Renegades0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York City-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Steel City1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Carolina Core1
Virginia Dream2
Flint City2
Forward Madison0
Detroit City5
Michigan Rangers1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
St. Louis City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Antonio FC6
New Stars0
Little Rock Rangers2
FC Tulsa4
Lexington9
Flower City Union0
Louisville City2
Southern Indiana0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Austin FC-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New Mexico3
Cruizers FC2
Laredo Heat0
El Paso Locomotive2
Colorado Springs3
Azteca0
Ventura1
Spokane Velocity2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting Kansas City-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Indy Eleven3
Menace0
BOHFS St. Louis0
Union Omaha8
AV Alta FC0
Valley 559 FC1
Sacramento Republic2
El Farolito0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orange County SC3
Laguna United0
Phoenix Rising4
San Ramon0
1/32-finals
FC Naples3
America CFL Spurs0
TBD-
Orlando City-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
Rhode Island2
Hartford Athletic0
Chattanooga1
Tennessee Tempo0
TBD-
Atlanta United-
Charlotte FC-
TBD-
Charlotte Independence3
Charleston2
Richmond Kickers1
Loudoun United0
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
DC United-
TBD-
Asheville City1
One Knoxville2
Vermont Green0
Westchester SC1
TBD-
New York City-
New York Red Bulls-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Virginia Dream0
Flint City0
Detroit City1
TBD-
Chicago Fire-
St. Louis City-
TBD-
San Antonio FC0
FC Tulsa1
Lexington0
Louisville City2
TBD-
Austin FC-
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
New Mexico0
El Paso Locomotive4
Colorado Springs2
Spokane Velocity1
TBD-
Sporting Kansas City-
Colorado Rapids-
TBD-
Indy Eleven1
Union Omaha2
Valley 559 FC0
Sacramento Republic4
TBD-
Minnesota United-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
Orange County SC1
Phoenix Rising2
1/16-finals
FC Naples0
Orlando City1
New England Revolution2
Rhode Island1
Chattanooga1
Atlanta United3
Charlotte FC6
Charlotte Independence0
Richmond Kickers0
Columbus Crew3
DC United3
One Knoxville4
Westchester SC2
New York City5
New York Red Bulls3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Detroit City1
Chicago Fire2
St. Louis City4
FC Tulsa0
Louisville City2
Austin FC1
Houston Dynamo4
El Paso Locomotive1
Colorado Springs3
Sporting Kansas City0
Colorado Rapids1
Union Omaha0
Sacramento Republic0
Minnesota United1
San Jose Earthquakes2
Phoenix Rising0
1/8-finals
Orlando City4
New England Revolution3
Atlanta United2
Charlotte FC0
Columbus Crew4
One Knoxville1
New York City3
New York Red Bulls1
Chicago Fire1
St. Louis City2
Louisville City1
Houston Dynamo2
Colorado Springs2
Colorado Rapids3
Minnesota United2
San Jose Earthquakes4
Quarter-finals
Orlando City4
Atlanta United1
Columbus Crew1
New York City0
St. Louis City3
Houston Dynamo2
Colorado Rapids2
San Jose Earthquakes0
Semi-finals
Orlando City-
Columbus Crew-
St. Louis City-
Colorado Rapids-
Final
TBD-
TBD-