Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2017/2018

Delta Porto Tolle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Liventina play Delta Porto Tolle in the Serie D - Group C 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Liventina averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Delta Porto Tolle averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Liventina won 1, Delta Porto Tolle won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2018 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Liventina and 1.11 for Delta Porto Tolle. This points to a Delta Porto Tolle double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Liventina

25%

Draws

48%

Delta Porto Tolle

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Delta Porto Tolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Liventina picked up more points recently compared to Delta Porto Tolle.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Liventina Clean Sheet 21%

Delta Porto Tolle Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Liventina	Delta Porto Tolle
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	3	9
Draws	9	6
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	0.87	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group C

Liventina vs Delta Porto Tolle

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group C

Delta Porto Tolle vs Liventina

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liventina 29 / 100

Delta Porto Tolle 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Liventina Delta Porto Tolle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Delta Porto Tolle or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Liventina attacking → ← attacking Delta Porto Tolle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liventina scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Delta Porto Tolle let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Liventina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Delta Porto Tolle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Verona	34	22	7	5	60:33	73
2	Campodarsego	34	21	5	8	73:43	68
3	Arzignano	34	19	10	5	75:42	67
4	Mantova	34	17	9	8	56:34	60
5	Adriese	34	16	8	10	56:31	56
6	Este	34	15	11	8	49:29	56
7	AC Belluno	34	15	6	13	62:50	51
8	Legnago Salus	34	13	10	11	53:47	49
9	Union Feltre	34	14	7	13	49:56	49
10	Delta Porto Tolle	34	13	8	13	47:50	47
11	Cjarlins Muzane	34	10	14	10	51:49	44
12	Clodiense	34	10	11	13	44:60	41
13	Ambrosiana	34	11	7	16	51:64	40
14	Tamai	34	10	10	14	50:51	40
15	Montebelluna	34	8	8	18	34:50	32
16	Calvi Noale	34	7	7	20	32:67	28
17	Liventina	34	5	10	19	33:64	25
18	Abano	34	4	4	26	25:80	16