Sport Picks
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo 
Match Events
10'
10'
Fracchia M.
27'
27'
Hernandez A.
34'
34'
Strasorier S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Liverpool M. and Cerro Largo finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liverpool M.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Liverpool M. come out ahead of Cerro Largo on wins alone.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool M. | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Jun 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool M. 41 / 100
Cerro Largo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool M. Cerro Largo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool M.'s goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Cerro Largo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Liverpool M. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool M. VS Cerro Largo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool M.
(Home) 20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
21 Aug
Liverpool M.
4 : 0 CA Cerro
08 Aug
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Albion
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Largo
(Away) 19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0 Central Esp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
01 Aug
Penarol
3 : 0 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
