Sport Picks
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo 
Match Events
10'
10'
Fracchia M.
27'
27'
Hernandez A.
34'
34'
Strasorier S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Liverpool M. and Cerro Largo finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cerro Largo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cerro Largo come out ahead of Liverpool M. on wins alone.
- Cerro Largo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 24%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool M. | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:1
May 18, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool M. 29 / 100
Cerro Largo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool M. Cerro Largo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool M.'s goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Cerro Largo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Liverpool M. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool M. VS Cerro Largo
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool M.
(Home) 12 Jul
Liverpool M.
1 : 2 CA Cerro
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Cerro Largo
01 Jun
Boston River
0 : 1 Liverpool M.
22 May
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
16 May
Penarol
2 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Liverpool M.
1 : 2 CA Cerro
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Cerro Largo
22 May
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
02 May
Liverpool M.
3 : 0 Danubio
19 Apr
Liverpool M.
1 : 3 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 4
Cerro Largo
(Away) 13 Jul
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Cerro Largo
29 May
Cerro Largo
2 : 0 CA Cerro
23 May
Cerro Largo
3 : 0 Boston River
17 May
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 6
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Cerro Largo
17 May
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
03 May
Progreso
0 : 1 Cerro Largo
20 Apr
Boston River
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
05 Apr
Albion
2 : 2 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Central Esp. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool M. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 7 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)