Sport Picks

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Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21

England England

Premier League 2 Liverpool Academy, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wilson M.
(Penalty)
34'
Ramsay C.
46'
Sub
Ngumoha R. In: Bradshaw J.
Out: Ngumoha R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 game between Liverpool U21 and Leeds U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Liverpool U21
6%
Draws
4%
Leeds U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Liverpool U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liverpool U21 come out ahead of Leeds U21 on wins alone.
  • Liverpool U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U21 Leeds U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Liverpool U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Leeds U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U21 95 / 100
Leeds U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U21 Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Leeds U21 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Leeds U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U21 VS Leeds U21
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U21

(Home)
26 Apr
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Crystal Palace U21
22 Mar
Liverpool U21
1 : 5
Crystal Palace U21
16 Mar
Manchester City U21
2 : 0
Liverpool U21
08 Mar
Liverpool U21
5 : 0
Wolves U21
01 Mar
Liverpool U21
4 : 2
Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U21

(Away)
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3
Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2
Manchester United U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
16 Mar
Leeds U21
1 : 0
Tottenham U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chelsea U2120141552:2543
2Manchester United U2120134343:2643
3Manchester City U2120131659:2140
4Fulham U2120115448:3238
5Ipswich U2120122645:4538
6Southampton U2120106436:2936
7Liverpool U2120112749:3635
8Tottenham U2120112742:3235
9Leicester U212094748:4231
10Crystal Palace U212094736:3131
11Aston Villa U212094732:3531
12Brighton U212086638:2530
13West Ham U212086644:3530
14Arsenal U212085728:3329
15Sunderland U212084841:4028
16Middlesbrough U212076737:2827
17Nottingham U2120821023:2326
18Everton U212074933:3625
19Reading U212074929:3625
20Stoke City U212074929:4225
21Newcastle Utd U212066830:3524
22Wolves U212065930:4523
23Norwich U2120551032:4220
24Derby U2120551026:4420
25Leeds U2120531228:4018
26West Brom U2120531226:4118
27Birmingham U2120451126:5217
28Blackburn U2120421427:4614
29Burnley U2120341322:4213
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