Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Liverpool Academy, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wilson M.
(Penalty)
34'
Ramsay C.
46'
Sub
Ngumoha R. In: Bradshaw J.
Out: Ngumoha R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Liverpool U21 and Leeds U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Liverpool U21
20%
Draws
51%
Leeds U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leeds U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liverpool U21 come out ahead of Leeds U21 on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool U21 Leeds U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League 2
Liverpool U21 vs Leeds U21
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Liverpool U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Leeds U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool U21 41 / 100
Leeds U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool U21 Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool U21 scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Leeds U21 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Liverpool U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool U21 VS Leeds U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool U21

(Home)
14 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 0
Liverpool U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
21 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 1
Liverpool U21
01 Aug
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Cardiff U21
26 Apr
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3
West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)