Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liverpool vs Tottenham

England England

EFL Cup Anfield, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mac Allister A.
36'
Araujo R.
40'
Frimpong J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Liverpool
35%
Draws
20%
Tottenham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liverpool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool taking it.
  • Liverpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Liverpool here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 16%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Tottenham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 EFL Cup
Liverpool vs Tottenham
3:1
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Liverpool vs Tottenham
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Tottenham vs Liverpool
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Tottenham
5:1
Feb 6, 2025 EFL Cup
Liverpool vs Tottenham
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool Compare

Top Goalscorer Mac Allister A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gakpo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tottenham Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 66 / 100
Tottenham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Tottenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Liverpool went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tottenham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Tottenham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Liverpool
0 : 0
Fulham
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham

(Away)
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -