Sport Picks

Italy

Primavera - Group A 2011/2012

Siena U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Livorno U20 play Siena U20 in the Primavera - Group A 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Livorno U20 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Siena U20 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Livorno U20 won 1, Siena U20 won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 2, 2013 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Livorno U20 and 1.69 for Siena U20. This points to a Livorno U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Livorno U20

35%

Draws

31%

Siena U20

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Livorno U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Livorno U20 picked up more points recently compared to Siena U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Livorno U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Siena U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Livorno U20	Siena U20
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	8	8
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.3	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2013 Primavera - Group A

Livorno U20 vs Siena U20

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Sep 22, 2012 Primavera - Group A

Siena U20 vs Livorno U20

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 14, 2012 Primavera - Group A

Livorno U20 vs Siena U20

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Dec 3, 2011 Primavera - Group A

Siena U20 vs Livorno U20

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Livorno U20 33 / 100

Siena U20 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Livorno U20 Siena U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Livorno U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Livorno U20 attacking → ← attacking Siena U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Livorno U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Siena U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Livorno U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Siena U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 32

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus U20	26	17	4	5	67:31	55
2	Torino U20	26	14	7	5	38:23	49
3	Fiorentina U20	26	13	9	4	45:23	48
4	Genoa U20	26	11	10	5	39:29	43
5	Sampdoria U20	26	11	8	7	44:34	41
6	Livorno U20	26	11	7	8	46:42	40
7	Empoli U20	26	12	4	10	35:39	40
8	Novara U20	26	8	11	7	44:35	35
9	Parma U20	26	9	6	11	40:45	33
10	Cagliari U20	26	7	8	11	33:46	29
11	Sassuolo U20	26	6	10	10	36:43	28
12	Siena U20	26	4	10	12	34:38	22
13	Modena U20	26	4	7	15	21:45	19
14	Grosseto U20	26	3	3	20	18:67	12