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Ljutomer vs Bogojina

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2016/2017
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

1 - 0
FT
Bogojina Logo

Bogojina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ljutomer in this 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ljutomer
20%
Draws
44%
Bogojina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bogojina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Ljutomer average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Bogojina's 0.87.
  • Model gives Ljutomer a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 16%
Bogojina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer Bogojina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 1
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.59 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Bogojina
3:1
Sep 3, 2017 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Ljutomer
2:1
May 28, 2017 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Bogojina
1:0
Nov 13, 2016 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Ljutomer
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 84 / 100
Bogojina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer Bogojina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogojina has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Ljutomer's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ljutomer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
Page 1 of 6

Bogojina

(Away)
18 Sept
Bogojina
0 : 4
Mura
26 May
Bogojina
2 : 1
Radgona
19 May
NK Polana
7 : 2
Bogojina
13 May
Bogojina
1 : 5
Odranci
06 May
NK Carda Martjanci
0 : 1
Bogojina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 26 21 2 3 82:17 65
2 Mura 26 20 3 3 100:17 63
3 Odranci 26 19 3 4 56:31 60
4 Beltinci 26 15 4 7 53:24 49
5 Ljutomer 26 13 2 11 48:39 41
6 Tromejnik 26 11 4 11 37:40 37
7 Hotiza 26 10 3 13 41:61 33
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 8 7 11 39:57 31
9 NK Polana 26 9 3 14 38:53 30
10 Rakican 26 8 4 14 31:61 28
11 Grad 26 7 4 15 26:55 25
12 Bogojina 26 7 4 15 22:65 25
13 Turnisce 26 6 4 16 28:50 22
14 Krizevci 26 3 3 20 23:54 12
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)