Sport Picks

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Ljutomer vs NK Smartno

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between Ljutomer and NK Smartno finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Smartno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ljutomer
30%
Draws
47%
NK Smartno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Smartno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and NK Smartno have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ljutomer NK Smartno
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Smartno
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Ljutomer
4:2
May 10, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Smartno
2:9
Oct 27, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Ljutomer
4:1
Mar 10, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Ljutomer
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ljutomer 30 / 100
NK Smartno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ljutomer NK Smartno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ljutomer scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

NK Smartno let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Ljutomer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ljutomer VS NK Smartno
3 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ljutomer

(Home)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
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NK Smartno

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
29 Aug
NK Smartno
3 : 0
SD Videm
22 Aug
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 0
NK Smartno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)