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LKS Lodz vs GKS Katowice

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion ŁKS
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LKS Lodz play GKS Katowice in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, LKS Lodz averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. GKS Katowice averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, LKS Lodz won 2, GKS Katowice won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 28, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for LKS Lodz and 1.88 for GKS Katowice. This points to a GKS Katowice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
LKS Lodz
18%
Draws
41%
GKS Katowice
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: GKS Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • LKS Lodz picked up more points recently compared to GKS Katowice.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 10%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LKS Lodz GKS Katowice
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.7 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Polish Cup
LKS Lodz vs GKS Katowice
1:2
Jul 5, 2023 Club Friendly
LKS Lodz vs GKS Katowice
1:0
Nov 11, 2022 Division 1
GKS Katowice vs LKS Lodz
1:5
Jul 16, 2022 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs GKS Katowice
0:2
May 22, 2022 Division 1
GKS Katowice vs LKS Lodz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LKS Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

GKS Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkurin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LKS Lodz 39 / 100
GKS Katowice 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LKS Lodz GKS Katowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GKS Katowice or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

LKS Lodz attacking → ← attacking GKS Katowice

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lodz scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

GKS Katowice let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

LKS Lodz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

GKS Katowice lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 51
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63