Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Owens C.
30'
30'
Owens C.
41'
41'
Owens C.
AI Match Summary
Penydarren in this FA Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penydarren
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Penydarren lately — more wins on the board than Llandudno Junction.
- Model gives Penydarren a 57% chance of winning this.
- Penydarren arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penydarren, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Llandudno Junction Clean Sheet 20%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llandudno Junction | Penydarren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 16 |
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 23 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.83 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Llandudno Junction vs Penydarren
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llandudno Junction Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Penydarren Compare
Top Goalscorer Owens C.
3 Goals Assists Leader Jones B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llandudno Junction 10 / 100
Penydarren 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llandudno Junction Penydarren
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penydarren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Llandudno Junction scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Penydarren let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.
Penydarren's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Llandudno Junction VS Penydarren
0 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Llandudno Junction
(Home) 16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
12 May
Queens Park
2 : 3 Llandudno Junction
05 May
Caersws FC
4 : 1 Llandudno Junction
25 Apr
Flint Town
3 : 1 Llandudno Junction
18 Apr
Llandudno Junction
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Llandudno Junction
0 : 5 Caernarfon
07 Apr
Llandudno Junction
1 : 1 Queens Park
24 Feb
Llandudno Junction
0 : 2 Ruthin Town
17 Feb
Llandudno Junction
0 : 4 Guilsfield
13 Jan
Llandudno Junction
1 : 6 Denbigh
Page 1 of 3
Penydarren
(Away) 20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5 Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3 Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0 Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 4
04 Sept
Pontypridd United
6 : 0 Penydarren
25 Jan
Ton Pentre
1 : 3 Penydarren
18 Jan
Llwydcoed
0 : 2 Penydarren
02 Dec
Llandudno Junction
0 : 4 Penydarren
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 1
Undy 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Monmouth 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bow Street 0
Llanrwst United 0
Saltney Town 6
Briton Ferry 3
Goytre Utd 1
Caldicot 2
Goytre AFC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Aberdare Town 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 5
Bodedern 1
Carno FC 0
Gresford 4
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Meliden 0
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llanfair United 0
Llanrug 0
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Rhyl 2
Llanidloes Town 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Corwen 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 4
Machen 3
Rhayader 1
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC -
Prestatyn Sports -
Queens Park 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 2
Cambrian United 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Port Talbot 0
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Gaerwen 1
Holyhead 3
Denbigh 4
STM Sports 5
Afan Lido 2
Cardiff Corries 0
Penydarren 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerphilly 4
Carmarthen Stars 1
Garden Village 3
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 4
Abermule 0
Lex Glyndwr XI 1
Caernarfon 5
Porthmadog 3
Penyffordd 0
Mochdre Sports 1
Penley 2
Ton Pentre 2
Cardiff Draconians 1
Abergavenny Town 1
Panteg 3
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Caerau Ely 0
Aberaeron 1
Llanelli 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 2
Monmouth 1
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Saltney Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Llantwit Major 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 1
Gresford 5
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 2
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 3
Holywell Town FC 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 0
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 3
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Denbigh 2
STM Sports 1
Penydarren 2
TNS -
TBD -
Caerphilly 2
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
Berriew FC 1
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 10
Penley 0
Ton Pentre 1
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Bala 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Llandudno FC 4
Gresford 0
Prestatyn 0
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 1
Buckley 0
Guilsfield 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 4
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids 2
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 3
Haverfordwest 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Penydarren 4
TNS 6
Penrhyncoch 0
Barry Town 0
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 7
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Llandudno FC 4
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 2
Newtown 3
Bangor City 3
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 1
Penydarren 2
TNS 3
Caernarfon 1
Porthmadog 1
Connahs Q. 3
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llandudno FC 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 7
Penydarren 0
TNS 1
Connahs Q. 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 6
Final
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 4
