Sport Picks
Llanelli vs Pontardawe
Wales
Cymru South 2023/2024 Stebonheath Park, Llanelli 
Match Events
11'
11'
Cann E.
22'
22'
Parry J.
35'
35'
Hillman T.
AI Match Summary
Llanelli in this Cymru South 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llanelli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontardawe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Pontardawe average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Llanelli's 1.33.
- Win probability leans Pontardawe's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Llanelli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 19%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanelli | Pontardawe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.51 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Pontardawe
5:0
Aug 12, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Llanelli
1:3
Jul 21, 2023 League Cup
Llanelli vs Pontardawe
1:0
Apr 7, 2023 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Pontardawe
0:4
Mar 18, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Llanelli
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llanelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Cann E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parry J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76
Pontardawe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanelli 10 / 100
Pontardawe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanelli Pontardawe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontardawe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontardawe let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Pontardawe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Llanelli scored in 58% of their last 36 games.
Scoring Trends
Llanelli VS Pontardawe
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanelli
(Home) 15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4 Newport City
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0 Llanelli
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 8
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4 Newport City
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5 Bala
20 Mar
Llanelli
1 : 2 Cardiff Metropolitan University
13 Mar
Llanelli
0 : 2 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 4
Pontardawe
(Away) 15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0 Caerphilly
26 Jun
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 0 Pontardawe
20 Apr
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
26 Jun
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 0 Pontardawe
20 Apr
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Pontardawe
13 Apr
Caerau Ely
3 : 1 Pontardawe
29 Mar
Llanelli
5 : 0 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 87:39 | 71 |
| 2 | Llanelli | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 80:40 | 64 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 60:42 | 57 |
| 4 | Cambrian United | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:37 | 50 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 72:60 | 49 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 68:56 | 46 |
| 8 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 58:59 | 43 |
| 9 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 69:64 | 42 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:41 | 41 |
| 11 | Trefelin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 47:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 13 | Taffs Well | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 44:49 | 32 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 52:70 | 32 |
| 15 | Abertillery Bluebirds | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 34:94 | 15 |
| 16 | Abergavenny Town | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 20:84 | 8 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)
