Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Llanuwchllyn in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llanuwchllyn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Llanfair United haven't matched Llanuwchllyn's recent run of results.
- Llanuwchllyn are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Llanuwchllyn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Llanuwchllyn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Llanfair United Clean Sheet 10%
Llanuwchllyn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llanfair United | Llanuwchllyn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 24 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanfair United vs Llanuwchllyn
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llanfair United 26 / 100
Llanuwchllyn 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llanfair United Llanuwchllyn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llanuwchllyn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llanfair United scored in 76% of their last 21 games.
Defensive concern: Llanuwchllyn conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Llanfair United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Llanfair United VS Llanuwchllyn
1 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanfair United
(Home) 20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Kinmel Bay
17 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
07 Mar
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Llanfair United
08 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 5
20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Kinmel Bay
17 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
08 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
01 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 2 Llandudno FC
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Llanuwchllyn
(Away) 12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0 Holyhead
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0 Gresford
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
22 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
0 : 0 Rhyl
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12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
15 Aug
Bangor 1876
5 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
01 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
5 : 1 Llanuwchllyn
22 Jul
Bala
2 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
CKSV 1
Aber Valley 5
TBD -
Barry Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 1
Llanrug 7
Llanidloes Town 0
Gresford 1
Felinheli 2
Glannau 1
Conwy Borough 3
Kinmel Bay 2
Risca United 4
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
Penybont -
Trearddur Bay 1
Penycae FC 5
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Abergavenny Town 2
Treharris Athletic 1
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Afan Lido 0
Hakin United 1
TBD -
Taffs Well -
Llanfair United 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Ammanford Town 0
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cefn Cribwr 1
Newport City 2
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penydarren 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
TBD -
Pure Swansea -
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Ton Pentre 0
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Mochdre Sports 0
Chirk AAA FC 3
TBD -
TNS -
Llay Welfare 3
Flint Mountain 6
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Pencoed 6
Brecon Corinthians 2
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Treowen 0
Cardiff Corries 6
TBD -
Newtown -
Abermule 2
Hawarden Rangers 3
TBD -
Bala -
Penrhyncoch 1
Caersws FC 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Penparcau FC 1
Rhyl 3
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Chepstow Town 1
Rockspur 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Porthmadog 3
Mold Alexandra 4
TBD -
Holyhead -
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Ynysygerwn 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llangefni 1
Llandudno Albion 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Machynlleth 0
Prestatyn 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llansannan 1
Glantraeth FC 2
TBD -
Cefn Druids -
Canton 5
West End 1
Llanelli 4
Goytre AFC 0
Denbigh 6
Llanrwst United 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Bow Street 6
Bangor 1876 5
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Baglan Dragons 1
Pontardawe 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Pill 4
Caldicot 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Talysarn Celts 0
Queens Park 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberfan 2
Porthcawl Town 0
Trefelin 5
Llandrindod 0
1/32-finals
Aber Valley 1
Barry Town 3
Llanrug 0
Gresford 3
Felinheli 1
Conwy Borough 4
Risca United 1
Penybont 5
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 4
Abergavenny Town 1
Goytre Utd 2
Hakin United 4
Taffs Well 1
Llanuwchllyn 0
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Penydarren 2
Pure Swansea 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 2
Haverfordwest 1
Chirk AAA FC 1
TNS 2
Flint Mountain 0
Caernarfon 4
Pencoed 0
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Corries 1
Newtown 8
Hawarden Rangers 1
Bala 6
Caersws FC 0
Flint Town 1
Rhyl 0
Ruthin Town 2
Chepstow Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Holyhead 1
Croesyceiliog FC 0
Briton Ferry 5
Llandudno Albion 0
Buckley 3
Prestatyn 2
Llandudno FC 0
Glantraeth FC 0
Cefn Druids 5
Canton 1
Llanelli 2
Denbigh 1
Connahs Q. 5
Bow Street 1
Colwyn Bay 4
Pontardawe 1
Cambrian United 0
Pill 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Queens Park 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Aberfan 1
Trefelin 5
1/16-finals
Barry Town 0
Gresford 2
Conwy Borough 0
Penybont 3
Guilsfield 6
Goytre Utd 3
Hakin United 1
Holywell Town FC 5
Cwmbran Celtic 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Penydarren 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
TNS 2
Caernarfon 1
Aberystwyth 1
Newtown 3
Bala 2
Flint Town 0
Ruthin Town 3
Pontypridd United 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Briton Ferry 4
Buckley 2
Prestatyn 0
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 4
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 0
Pontardawe 3
Pill 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Trefelin 1
1/8-finals
Gresford 0
Penybont 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Penydarren 2
TNS 7
Newtown 0
Bala 2
Pontypridd United 1
Briton Ferry 3
Buckley 2
Llanelli 0
Connahs Q. 2
Pontardawe 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Quarter-finals
Penybont 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 1
TNS 3
Bala 2
Briton Ferry 0
Connahs Q. 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Semi-finals
Penybont 0
TNS 2
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 2
Final
TNS 6
Bala 0
