Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanfairpwll FC vs Penycae FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llanfairpwll FC in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Llanfairpwll FC
6%
Draws
4%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Llanfairpwll FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Penycae FC at 2.25 per game, Llanfairpwll FC at 1.4.
  • Model gives Llanfairpwll FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Llanfairpwll FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Llanfairpwll FC Clean Sheet 10%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanfairpwll FC Penycae FC
Matches Played 5 14
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.4 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2009 FA Cup
Llanfairpwll FC vs Penycae FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanfairpwll FC 83 / 100
Penycae FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanfairpwll FC Penycae FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanfairpwll FC scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Penycae FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Penycae FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanfairpwll FC VS Penycae FC
1.4 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanfairpwll FC

(Home)
11 Sept
Llangefni
3 : 2
Llanfairpwll FC
03 Oct
Llanfairpwll FC
1 : 3
Rhyl
12 Sept
Llanfairpwll FC
2 : 1
Penycae FC
04 Oct
Llangefni
3 : 0
Llanfairpwll FC
13 Sept
Hawarden Rangers
0 : 2
Llanfairpwll FC

Penycae FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Rhos Aelwyd
08 Oct
Penycae FC
1 : 4
Guilsfield
17 Sept
Trearddur Bay
1 : 5
Penycae FC
19 Oct
Bangor 1876
4 : 3
Penycae FC
20 Oct
Penycae FC
0 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala1
Llanrug0
Caersws FC4
Coedpoeth1
Caerau Ely1
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.3
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangollen1
Llandudno Junction3
Cambrian United0
TNS2
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth2
Caldicot0
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn3
Grange Harlequins0
Porthmadog3
Rhydymwyn1
Rhyl4
Bridgend Town2
Pontardawe2
Llandudno FC0
Flint Town0
Bangor City1
Aberaman2
Ely Rangers0
Llanelli3
Carmarthen Town1
Llangeinor1
Holyhead6
1/8-finals
Bala2
Caersws FC0
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.1
Llandudno Junction0
TNS6
Aberystwyth0
Port Talbot2
Prestatyn1
Porthmadog0
Rhyl7
Pontardawe0
Bangor City3
Aberaman1
Llanelli4
Holyhead0
Quarter-finals
Bala2
Afan Lido0
TNS2
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn5
Rhyl4
Bangor City2
Llanelli0
Semi-finals
Bala0
Port Talbot1
Prestatyn0
Bangor City2
Final
Port Talbot2
Bangor City3