Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llosetense vs Manacor

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Boriko J. D.
69' Event
Mari J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Llosetense
20%
Draws
51%
Manacor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manacor come out ahead of Llosetense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Manacor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Manacor, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Manacor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 19%
Manacor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Manacor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
2:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Manacor
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Manacor
1:4
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Llosetense
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Boriko J. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Mari J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 36 / 100
Manacor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manacor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Llosetense scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Manacor has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Llosetense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Manacor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
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Manacor

(Away)
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Manacor 3
Llosetense 2
Pena Deportiva 3
Constancia 2
Final
Manacor 2
Pena Deportiva 5