Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llosetense vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Barrera L.
58' Event
Boriko J. D.
77' Event
Riveron S.

AI Match Summary

Llosetense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Llosetense
35%
Draws
32%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llosetense lately — more wins on the board than Portmany.
  • Model gives Llosetense a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 20%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Portmany
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.74 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Portmany
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Llosetense
0:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Portmany
5:4
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Llosetense
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Llosetense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrera L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boriko J. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.84

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 67 / 100
Portmany 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Portmany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Llosetense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Portmany
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
Page 1 of 7

Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)