Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Lviv

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026
LNZ Cherkasy Logo

LNZ Cherkasy

1 - 0
FT
Rukh Lviv Logo

Rukh Lviv

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Assinor M.
39'
Faal B.
46'
Sub
Tankovskiy V. In: Pastukh Y.
Out: Tankovskiy V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with LNZ Cherkasy advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
LNZ Cherkasy
15%
Draws
0%
Rukh Lviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LNZ Cherkasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • LNZ Cherkasy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives LNZ Cherkasy a 85% chance of winning this.
  • LNZ Cherkasy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor LNZ Cherkasy, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors LNZ Cherkasy here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 68%
Rukh Lviv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LNZ Cherkasy Rukh Lviv
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Rukh Lviv vs LNZ Cherkasy
1:2
Oct 29, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Lviv
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Lviv
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Rukh Lviv vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Rukh Lviv
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LNZ Cherkasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Obah P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rukh Lviv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LNZ Cherkasy 86 / 100
Rukh Lviv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LNZ Cherkasy Rukh Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LNZ Cherkasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rukh Lviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Rukh Lviv has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: LNZ Cherkasy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LNZ Cherkasy VS Rukh Lviv
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LNZ Cherkasy

(Home)
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
06 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
30 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1
Veres Rivne
Page 1 of 6

Rukh Lviv

(Away)
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
14 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
05 Sept
Skala 1911
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
29 Aug
Rukh Lviv
1 : 2
Dnister Zalishchyky
22 Aug
Nyva Vinnytsya
3 : 2
Rukh Lviv
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3