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Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos ULMX host Deportiva Venados in the Primera Premier. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Lobos ULMX at 1.31 goals for, 1.21 against; Deportiva Venados at 1.94 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Lobos ULMX slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Deportiva Venados. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lobos ULMX
15%
Draws
32%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lobos ULMX

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportiva Venados lately — more wins on the board than Lobos ULMX.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Lobos ULMX taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 12%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos ULMX Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Lobos ULMX
0:0
Aug 12, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos ULMX 65 / 100
Deportiva Venados 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos ULMX Deportiva Venados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lobos ULMX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos ULMX's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Deportiva Venados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Lobos ULMX stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Deportiva Venados lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lobos ULMX VS Deportiva Venados
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos ULMX

(Home)
01 Nov
Lobos ULMX
1 : 1
Chapulineros
25 Oct
Montaneses
0 : 3
Lobos ULMX
18 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 0
Cordobes FC
11 Oct
Purepechas
2 : 0
Lobos ULMX
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Deportiva Venados

(Away)
01 Nov
Irapuato
2 : 1
Deportiva Venados
24 Oct
Deportiva Venados
3 : 1
Tigres de Alica
20 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 4
Deportiva Venados
10 Oct
Deportiva Venados
1 : 4
Pioneros
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 9 9 0 0 22:6 28
2 Tigres de Alica 10 5 2 3 18:11 17
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 9 5 0 4 15:15 15
4 Lobos ULMX 9 3 2 4 11:12 12
5 Zacatepec 9 3 2 4 9:14 12
6 Los Cabos United 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
7 Cordobes FC 9 3 1 5 8:13 9
8 Purepechas 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
9 Tritones Vallarta 8 1 2 5 7:11 5
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 9 6 3 0 24:8 23
2 Celaya 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
3 Pioneros 9 5 2 2 20:10 18
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 9 4 2 3 10:9 15
5 Deportiva Venados 9 3 2 4 18:17 12
6 Chapulineros 9 3 3 3 12:16 12
7 Montaneses 10 3 1 6 13:20 9
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
9 Tapachula 9 2 0 7 9:24 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)